Welcome to Pitch & Profit—where sports meets strategy, dealmaking, and future trends.

I want to give background on why I’m doing this as this is my first newsletter. Every basic finance bro loves sports. Our fantasy teams give us a sense of purpose and belonging in the gloomy winter months while march madness brings allows us a few weekends of absolute bliss to bring upon the rejuvenating springtime. This of course is from a US perspective, but the lads across the pond have similar experiences as the start of the domestic football leagues in august and the champions league later in the year bring them a sense of joy, heartbreak, and sheer unadulterated madness. Don’t worry we haven’t forgotten about our friends in India where Virat Kohli and RCB finally lifted their first IPL trophy earlier this year. Although a heartbreak for Pakistan fans in the Asia Cup, hold your heads high as you all put up a more than valiant effort. In this news letter I’ll sometime right about just sports, or just business, but I really want to focus on intersecting both.

🏟️ Borussia Dortmund at a Glance

  • Valuation & Market Position:
    Valued at approximately €2 billion (Forbes 2025), BVB ranks among the top 15 valued football clubs worldwide but currently trades at a notable discount compared to similar global giants—making it a compelling target for investors seeking value in the soccer space.

  • Revenue Profile:
    With annual revenues estimated at €627 million, Dortmund generates income across matchday ticket sales, commercial partnerships, and broadcast rights. Their Signal Iduna Park stadium holds 81,365 fans, boasting the highest average attendance in Europe—translating to powerful matchday cash flows.

  • Fan Base & Brand:
    Boasting over 10 million passionate global fans and ranking in the top 10 for worldwide merchandise sales, Dortmund’s brand is deeply embedded in football culture, particularly known for its electric atmosphere and commitment to youth development. The Yellow Wall can only be described as surreal as the largest Grandstand in Europe hosting 25,000 boisterous fans in the Southern Terrace of the stadium.

Why Borussia Dortmund Is a Unique Investment Opportunity

The current market undervaluation, combined with its robust operating fundamentals and scalability, presents a unique risk-adjusted growth profile:

  • Discounted Revenue Multiple:
    Dortmund trades at about 3.2x revenue, while comparable clubs like Juventus and Atlético Madrid command multiples closer to 4.5x–5x. This gap suggests substantial upside if operational and commercial strategies improve.

  • Youth-Led Talent Engine:
    Dortmund’s academy and scouting network have generated over €60 million annually in transfer profits through player sales (e.g., Jadon Sancho, Erling Haaland). This business-as-usual “player trading” model offsets market volatility and sustains cash flow.

  • Stadium Monetization Potential:
    Signal Iduna Park is primed for hospitality expansion and non-matchday use, with estimates suggesting an additional €30–40 million per year potential from upgraded corporate boxes, events, and fan experiences.

  • Digital Transformation:
    BVB’s current digital fan engagement initiatives remain underdeveloped relative to peers—significant opportunity exists to scale direct-to-consumer content, e-commerce, and fan token monetization in a growing digital sports economy.

📊 Financial Snapshot & Return Outlook

Metric

2024 Estimate

2029 Projection

Revenue

€627M

€820M

EBITDA Margin

8.6%

15%

Enterprise Value

€1.99B

€3.2B

Net Debt

€97M

€60M

EV/Revenue Multiple

3.2x

4.0x

  • Revenue Growth: Steady 5.5% CAGR projected, driven by commercial and digital revenue expansion

  • Profitability: Margins expected to nearly double as stadium and digital initiatives improve operational leverage

  • Exit Potential: Based on peer multiples of 4x revenue, projected IRR sits around 15–18% (conservative, unlevered)

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue Source

FY 25 Revenues (%of Total Revenues) €000s

FY24 Revenues (% of Total Revenues) €000s

Marketing

55,221 (10.5%)

52,582 (10.3%)

Advertising

153,557 (29.2%)

146,576 (28.8%)

Match Operation

227,200 (43.2%)

206,050 (40.5%)

Merchandising

40,033 (7.6%)

47,898 (9.4%)

Conference and Other

50,008 (9.5%)

56,004 (11.0%)

Total

526,019

509,110

🔧 The Value Creation Playbook

  1. Optimize Matchday Revenue: Invest in stadium hospitality, premium seating, and enhanced fan experiences to unlock millions in additional annual revenue.

  2. Accelerate Digital Monetization: Expand direct fan engagement via streaming, social content, and digital collectibles, capturing younger international audiences.

  3. Precision Talent Management: Boost analytics-driven scouting and broaden global feeder club investments to increase the volume and profitability of player trading.

  4. Expand Commercial Footprint: Secure higher-profile international sponsorships and capitalize on Bundesliga’s next broadcast cycle.

⚠️ Risks & Mitigation

  • On-Field Performance: Sporting results affect revenue, especially UEFA Champions League qualification. Dortmund’s strong youth system and diversified income streams mitigate this volatility.

  • Fan Expectations: German fans are deeply passionate and wary of commercialization that threatens club identity—transparent governance and ESG initiatives will be critical.

  • Market & Regulatory: Transfer market fluctuations and UEFA Financial Fair Play regulations require disciplined financial management to avoid pitfalls.

⚡️ The Takeaway

Borussia Dortmund is the rare scale European football asset with untapped upside, real transparency, and multiple ways to win. In a world where elite clubs get pricier every year—and US buyers are circling the continent—this is the blueprint play for investors who want growth and downside protection.

Enjoy this analysis? Share or reply if you want deep dives on more sports investment opportunities, club spotlights, or how to break into the business of soccer.


Keep reading

No posts found